Moderní teorie dlouhodobé spotřeby v kontextu "Mankiwovy" záhady

dc.contributor.authorMakovský, Petr
dc.date.accessioned2018-01-24T07:41:23Z
dc.date.available2018-01-24T07:41:23Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.description.abstract-translatedIn this paper we are interested in the effects of the durable consumption. Main idea is about the so called Mankiw puzzle verification on the data sample of the current time series from Germany and the Czech Republic (quarterly data 2004Q1-2016Q4). In other word whether or not the observed durable consumption tends to spontaneously disappear in the economy. We have statistically tested the stochastic process ARMA (1,1) on the given time series. Concretely whether autoregression parameter is less than one and at the same time if the more important deprecation parameter is equal to one (MA parameter equal to zero). In original analyzes performed so far, the time series from the United States of France, demonstrated the statistical significance of the values of the mentioned coefficients. Mankiw's puzzle has been proven, which has led to arguments for the introduction of scrapping subsidies in France and many other European countries in the 1990s. More, demand growth was expected to increase in the ten-year cycle of new car consumption. We have run analysis, in which we concluded about falsification of the Mankiw puzzle. We used the current data samples from the Czech Republic and Germany (2004Q1 to 2016Q4). In general, innovation (parameter MA is non-zero) does not affect but affects durable consumption over a longer period of time. The analysis results argue against the introduction of scrapping subsidies based on current data.en
dc.format10 s.cs
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.citationTrendy v podnikání = Business trends : vědecký časopis Fakulty ekonomické ZČU v Plzni. 2017, č. 2, s. 75-84.cs
dc.identifier.issn1805-0603
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11025/29151
dc.language.isocscs
dc.publisherZápadočeská univerzita v Plznics
dc.relation.ispartofseriesTrendy v podnikánícs
dc.rights© Západočeská univerzita v Plznics
dc.rights.accessopenAccessen
dc.subjectdlouhodobá spotřebacs
dc.subjectMankiwova záhadacs
dc.subjectdotační příspěvekcs
dc.subjectstochastický proces ARMAcs
dc.subject.translateddurable consumptionen
dc.subject.translatedMankiw puzzleen
dc.subject.translatedscrapping subsidyen
dc.subject.translatedARMA stochastic processen
dc.titleModerní teorie dlouhodobé spotřeby v kontextu "Mankiwovy" záhadycs
dc.title.alternativeThe modern theory of durable consumption in contrary with the Mankiw puzzleen
dc.typečlánekcs
dc.typearticleen
dc.type.statusPeer-revieweden
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen

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