Multiscale non-linear tale risk spillover effect from oil to stocks – The case of East European emerging markets

dc.contributor.authorZivkov, Dejan
dc.contributor.authorKuzman, Boris
dc.contributor.authorPapic-Blagojevic, Natasa
dc.date.accessioned2024-12-04T10:18:40Z
dc.date.available2024-12-04T10:18:40Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstract-translatedThis paper investigates the multiscale non-linear risk transmission effect from Brent oil to eleven European emerging stock markets. Dynamic extreme risk time series are created using the FIAPARCH-CVaR approach. The MODWT transformation is applied to make three wavelet details that represent different time horizons. In the final step, the MODWT time series are fitted into the Markov switching model to examine the spillover phenomenon. The results indicate that the Czech and Hungarian stock markets endure the spillover effect in crisis regime in the short term, probably because these markets are among the most efficient emerging European markets. On the other hand, a relatively high spillover effect is found in a peaceful rather than a crisis régime in the case of Poland. This is probably because the Polish index lists almost 300 stocks, which means that oil shocks disperse to a large number of different industry sectors. In small and less developed markets, such as Estonia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, and Croatia, a high spillover effect exists in a tranquil regime because these countries have high oil consumption per capita. Lithuania and Latvia do not report the spillover effect in the short run, while this is true for all time horizons in the case of Slovakia.en
dc.format15 s.cs
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.15240/tul/001/2024-5-015
dc.identifier.issn1212-3609 (print)
dc.identifier.issn2336-5064 (online)
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11025/57903
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherTechnická univerzita v Libercics
dc.rightsCC BY-NC 4.1en
dc.rights.accessopenAccessen
dc.subjectextrémní riziko přelévánícs
dc.subjectpodmíněná hodnota v rizikucs
dc.subjectvlnková metodologiecs
dc.subjectBrent oilcs
dc.subjectstock marketscs
dc.subject.translatedextreme risk spillover effecten
dc.subject.translatedconditional value-at-risken
dc.subject.translatedCVaRen
dc.subject.translatedwavelet methodologyen
dc.subject.translatedBrent oilen
dc.subject.translatedstock marketsen
dc.titleMultiscale non-linear tale risk spillover effect from oil to stocks – The case of East European emerging marketsen
dc.typečlánekcs
dc.typearticleen
dc.type.statusPeer revieweden
dc.type.versionpublishedVersionen
local.files.count1*
local.files.size2171017*
local.has.filesyes*

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